International trade patterns at the product level are surprisingly dynamic.
The majority of trade relationships exist for just a few, often only one to
three, years. In this paper, I examine empirically the duration in German
import trade at the 8-digit product level from 1995 to 2005\. I find that
survival probabilities are affected by exporter characteristics, product type
and market structure. Specifically, I show that the duration of exporting a
product to Germany is longer for products obtained from countries that are
economically large and geographically close to Germany; for products with
large trade value and a low elasticity of substitution; and for trade pairs
that command a large share of the German import market and are characterized
by two-way trade.