dc.contributor.author
Bellard, Celine
dc.contributor.author
Jeschke, Jonathan M.
dc.contributor.author
Leroy, Boris
dc.contributor.author
Mace, Georgina M.
dc.date.accessioned
2019-12-06T09:38:57Z
dc.date.available
2019-12-06T09:38:57Z
dc.identifier.uri
https://refubium.fu-berlin.de/handle/fub188/26059
dc.identifier.uri
http://dx.doi.org/10.17169/refubium-25818
dc.description.abstract
Climate change and biological invasions are threatening biodiversity and ecosystem services worldwide. It has now been widely acknowledged that climate change will affect biological invasions. A large number of studies have investigated predicted shifts and other changes in the geographic ranges of invasive alien species related to climate change using modeling approaches. Yet these studies have provided contradictory evidence, and no consensus has been reached. We conducted a systematic review of 423 modeling case studies included in 71 publications that have examined the predicted effects of climate change on those species. We differentiate the approaches used in these studies and synthesize their main results. Our results reaffirm the major role of climate change as a driver of invasive alien species distribution in the future. We found biases in the literature both regarding the taxa, toward plants and invertebrates, and the areas of the planet investigated. Despite these biases, we found for the plants and vertebrates studied that climate change will more frequently contribute to a decrease in species range size than an increase in the overall area occupied. This is largely due to oceans preventing terrestrial invaders from spreading poleward. In contrast, we found that the ranges of invertebrates and pathogens studied are more likely to increase following climate change. An important caveat to these findings is that researchers have rarely considered the effects of climate change on transport, introduction success, or the resulting impacts. We recommend closing these research gaps, and propose additional avenues for future investigations, as well as opportunities and challenges for managing invasions under climate change.
en
dc.format.extent
13 Seiten
dc.rights.uri
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subject
biological invasions
en
dc.subject
climate change
en
dc.subject
species distribution models
en
dc.subject.ddc
500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik::590 Tiere (Zoologie)::590 Tiere (Zoologie)
dc.title
Insights from modeling studies on how climate change affects invasive alien species geography
dc.type
Wissenschaftlicher Artikel
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.doi
10.1002/ece3.4098
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.journaltitle
Ecology and evolution
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.number
11
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.pagestart
5688
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.pageend
5700
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.volume
8
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.url
https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.4098
refubium.affiliation
Biologie, Chemie, Pharmazie
refubium.affiliation.other
Institut für Biologie / Arbeitsbereich Zoologie

refubium.resourceType.isindependentpub
no
dcterms.accessRights.openaire
open access
dcterms.isPartOf.eissn
2045-7758