Comparison of the risk of hospital admission, need for ventilation, sepsis, pneumonitis and death among the recent monkeypox outbreak and historical outbreaks

Abstract

Background The course of monkeypox can be severe. Our aim was to retrospectively compare the risk of hospital admission, the need for ventilation, sepsis, pneumonitis and death between the recent outbreak and historical outbreaks. Materials and Methods Cases of monkeypox were retrieved from the TriNetX database and assigned to either cohort I (recent outbreak between May 1st and September 16th, 2022) and cohort II (historical outbreaks before May 1st, 2022). After matching for age distribution, statistical analysis was performed. Results Of 640 patients with monkeypox 81 subjects per cohort remained after matching (mean age +/- standard deviation = 36.1 +/- 18.3 years). Within 56 days after diagnosis 10 patients per cohort were hospitalized (12.4%) and/or developed sepsis (12.4%). The risk of ventilation and pneumonitis were significantly lower among cohort I compared with cohort II (0 vs. 10 cases; risk difference = 12.4%; p = 0.001; Log-Rank test). No cases of death were recorded. Conclusion Even though monkeypox provides a risk of severe courses, the infection is self-limiting in most cases. Unlike past outbreaks, the risk of ventilation and pneumonitis may be relatively low among recent outbreaks.